4_Legs_Good
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Mar-11-08 02:39 PM
Original message |
| Where can I get a copy of the Obama memo on election projections? |
|
The one that everyone but me has, that spelled out how they thought they would do through the rest of the Primary season? I wanna keep track of how well they guessed.
David
|
Pirate Smile
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Mar-11-08 03:55 PM
Response to Original message |
| 1. This should have a link and shows the spreadsheet. |
4_Legs_Good
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Mar-11-08 06:57 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
ginnyinWI
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Mar-12-08 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
| 3. I took a close look at this chart. |
|
Of the states just on the chart (contests since Louisiana) Obama netted +40 delegates over their projections. I see no reason why this trend shouldn't continue through the rest of the states.
Notice they project 47% in PA. If they attain even this much, they will prevent the landslide Hillary needs to go forward. WV and KY and Puerto Rico are the only other ones they expect to lose--but still think they'll get low 40s percentage of the vote. I think that they will again exceed their goals.
That said, failing to win a decisive victory didn't stop HRC after Texas. Someone said they are now running for 2012--and that could be true.
I just want it to end!
|
4_Legs_Good
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Mar-12-08 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #3 |
| 4. They were only off by 1% in MS |
|
These guys are good!
Let's hope their PA numbers are as good. He did come up a little shy of projections in Ohio...
David
|
ginnyinWI
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Mar-12-08 01:01 PM
Response to Reply #4 |
| 5. That might have been due to the Nafta flap |
|
I seem to remember it coming right before Ohio--a few negative slams that didn't get debunked until it was too late.
|
Pirate Smile
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Mar-12-08 02:01 PM
Response to Reply #4 |
| 6. They won Maine even though they had it down as a loss. |
DU
AdBot (1000+ posts) |
Wed Feb 11th 2026, 10:13 AM
Response to Original message |