Allan Lichtman: Obama wins reelection in 2012

[bigdarryl]

based on his Popular vote keys http://www.gazette.net/stories/03262010/policol170803_32553.php

[BeyondGeography]

1. Good, I won't have to pay attention then

[Pirate Smile]

4. You will have to vote though.

:)

[Scurrilous]

2. K & R

:thumbsup:

[Deep13]

3. Don't care. If we lose Congress this year, it won't matter. nt

[Pirate Smile]

6. Reminds me of how it didn't matter if Bush or Gore won.

:eyes:

People have the memories of gnats.

[Deep13]

7. Screw you. My "gnat" brain has no trouble remembering the '94 disaster.

After that, Bill Clinton was Republican-Lite foreign policy president.

[Proud Liberal Dem]

13. That is, of course, assuming

that this November will be virtually a repeat of 1994 and that, IF Pubs take Congress, they will hang on to it for through 2016. It's a little too early to make EITHER assumptions IMHO.

President Obama has been unwilling to cave to the Republicans on a lot of things- civilian trials for terror suspects, wanting to close Gitmo, completing comprehensive health care reform. On any one of those things (even though some of them haven't been finished as of yet), he could've done the politically *sensible* thing and give the Pubs exactly what they wanted but he didn't/hasn't. He has been willing and capable in calling out the Republicans for their shenanigans too. I don't think that a bad midterm- no matter how bad it ends up being- is going to magically transform him into "Republican-Lite" POTUS. If anything, I think that President Obama and the Democratic Party would actually do well to play off the Republicans if they get into office.

[HiFructosePronSyrup]

14. Because Clinton v. Dole didn't matter.

:crazy:

[Pirate Smile]

16. Anyone who says it "doesn't matter" who the President of the United States is after living

through the Bush years deserves to get called out for it.

[Deep13]

19. These aren't the Bush years.

It's not enough to have a veto power to prevent bad laws. There are new laws we simply must have. We can't have them if the Rs control Congress. And I guess I really don't care you you think deserves what. It remains a fact that Washington is controlled by the Hill and not the WH.

[Cali_Democrat]

17. So it wouldn't have mattered if Clinton or Dole won in 1996?

You fail

[depakid]

21. Looking back, it would have prevented the disaster that was Bush

and would likely have hastened the demise of the Republican's control of congress.

[yellowcanine]

5. I don't think it makes any sense to be making this assessment now.

Wait until early 2012.

[bigdarryl]

8. Allan has never been wrong on any Presidential election even

with Gore he predicted he would win the Popular vote which he did by 500,000 votes

[damntexdem]

9. Interesting.

But hardly conclusive.

[CreekDog]

10. Allan Lichtman was really good in Die Hard

nice to know he's keeping busy. :D

[Jennicut]

24. LOL. I got that one.

Rickman is one of my faves.

[NJmaverick]

11. K & R

[Oceansaway]

12. K&R...n/t

[CakeGrrl]

15. Wait - won't he step down before 2012?

That's what some keep saying (hoping)...

:crazy:

[Clio the Leo]

18. Good, but how many seats will he lose in November?

That's the real question.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

22. well if the jobs and houses come back we'll be OK

[saltpoint]

20. He's well-positioned, remains quite popular, is very smart, and

on top of his own attributes, the Pukes got nothin'.

[troubledamerican]

23. Hillary wins, chosen by Congress in repeat of Election of 1824.

The last day of the Republic is 4/4/15.

[The Damned]

25. Uh.....

...that's kinda/sorta/buevista a no-brainer!