Teaser
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Wed Nov-03-10 09:28 AM
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Edited on Wed Nov-03-10 09:29 AM by Teaser
1) I now believe Nate Silver's methodology works. 1 election is a fluke. 2 elections and several primaries is a track record.
2) The cell phone effect, such as it is, is negligible, if the cell phone crowd doesn't turn out to vote.
3) Gallup still appears to be crazy.
4) Sharon Angle's loss proves what a fraud Intrade is.
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| Clio the Leo
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Wed Nov-03-10 09:40 AM
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| 1. Thank you! Do NOT question Nate dog ... even when what he's telling us is not what we want to hear. |
| Teaser
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Wed Nov-03-10 09:42 AM
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| 2. I'll still question him |
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that is my job.
I wish his model was open source, for one.
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| Clio the Leo
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Wed Nov-03-10 09:49 AM
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| 3. lol "question" was a poor word choice... |
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... what I'm going for Is "hate on."
You may not have done that, but a LOT of folks did.
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| Teaser
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Wed Nov-03-10 11:24 AM
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| 4. hmm....I hate on very few people |
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it requires such an expenditure of energy on my part.
I was dubious in that I thought he maybe just got lucky last time around. I am now more-or-less convinced.
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Thu Feb 12th 2026, 06:10 AM
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