Which Poll Should I Believe

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Poll question: Which Poll Should I Believe

[liberal N proud]

1. Neither

Polls are for pundits

[harun]

2. Ignore them both.

[JoePhilly]

3. Other ...

First, take those 2 polls, and about 6 others. Examine their recent outcomes for the last month or so. That gives you 3 or 4 sets of averages to look at.

Then, within each set, if any polling group is always highest or lowest, throw out its scores completely. This probably means you have to throw out Rasmussen's scores because they are almost always the lowest poll in any grouped set of polls within a common date range.

Now, average the polls in each set. This creates a trend line with 3 or 4 data points, with approval % on the Y axis, and the total date range across the X-axis.

Then, on the X-axis, place dots on the date of any major events, like say, a Fire Dog Lake article bashing Obama, or Gibbs trashing the professional left, ... feel free to pick your favorites.

Then nod your head up and down ... and post your results on DU, because your findings clearly demonstrate that Obama is only going to have one term, or he's going to be reelected as Emperor for life.

Alternatively, you can look at both polls, skip doing everything I describe above, nod, and then throw them both in the trash, as approval polls are terrible indicators of who people are going to vote for 2 years before the actual election.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. The Misuse Of Polls Is Hilarious, Especially When It's The Same Poll Bouncing Around The M.O.E.

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[JoePhilly]

7. Both of those polls are making breathless rounds right now ...

Its hilarious. I'm seriously tempted to go play along ...

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. The Truth Is Somewhere In Between

He needs to hang around 50% to be reeelected unless it's a three person race but that's a long way away but not as long as some people think.

[sciencewins]

5. With unempl high, tax-cuts for rich, mandated HC w/no cost control...42 is more likely

[RichGirl]

6. With all the unemployed.....

...finding out that their unemployment was extended...some of them republicans...49% approval more likely.

[frylock]

10. all the unemployed?

[bigwillq]

9. Neither

I never pay attention to polls. They all say something different, and will change 1,000 times.

[ProudDad]

11. Lies, damn lies and Polls

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