Is The Cain Train Already Slowing Down ?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

I notice in the new CNN Poll he is already losing to Romney by a point after earlier polls showed him leading Romney and gaining momentum. I know his leads were in the MOE but he seems to be losing ground.

When we do we get to say "Herman, we hardly knew ya."

[rsmith6621]

1. I hope most of the republican field sticks together..

...closer to the convention better for Obama.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. I Think Romney Wins This

This is all bread and circuses

[rurallib]

2. If I was running I would change my name to "None Ofthe Above"

that guy would poll over 50% if he was included.

[Hutzpa]

4. Herman sorry but no more KochCain

my system can't take anymore. :smoke:

[Raine1967]

14. +1 HAH!

perfect!

[WI_DEM]

5. except the previous CNN poll had Cain with only 7%, so he has skyrocketed in their newest poll

You have to compare it to the earlier CNN poll not other polls, and if you do that it will show that Cain is surging.

CNN/Opinion Research 10/14 - 10/16 416 A 26 25 13 8 9 6 1 2 Romney +1
Rasmussen Reports 10/12 - 10/12 1000 LV 29 29 9 10 5 4 2 2 Tie
PPP (D) 10/7 - 10/10 484 RV 22 30 14 15 5 5 2 1 Cain +8
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/6 - 10/10 336 RV 23 27 16 8 11 5 3 1 Cain +4
Reuters/Ipsos 10/6 - 10/10 410 A 23 19 10 7 13 5 2 -- Romney +4
WP/Bloomberg/PSRAI 10/6 - 10/9 391 A 24 16 13 3 6 4 0 1 Romney +8
Gallup 10/3 - 10/7 1064 A 20 18 15 7 8 5 2 3 Romney +2
ABC News/Wash Post 9/29 - 10/2 RV 25 17 17 9 9 7 1 2 Romney +8
CBS News 9/28 - 10/2 324 RV 17 17 12 8 7 4 2 3 Tie
Quinnipiac 9/27 - 10/3 927 RV 22 17 14 8 6 3 1 3 Romney +5
Pew Research 9/22 - 10/4 876 RV 22 13 17 8 12 6 1 2 Romney +5
FOX News 9/25 - 9/27 363 RV 23 17 19 11 6 3 4 3 Romney +4
CNN/Opinion Research 9/23 - 9/25 447 A 21 7 28 10 7 4 1 3 Perry +7
Rasmussen Reports 9/19 - 9/19 1000 LV 24 7 28 9 6 8 2 3 Perry +4

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html#polls

[DemocratSinceBirth]

6. We Need To Wait For More Polls To Confirm My Thesis

But if you look at the latest set of polls his momentum has clearly stalled.

[WI_DEM]

7. Now if the next PPP poll shows him falling and then the next CNN poll shows him falling, yes

but you can't compare one poll to another poll.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

8. You Should Be Able To

Polls are supposed to be "scientific" and if my memory of eighth grade science is correct the benchmark of the scientific process is you should be able to duplicate the results.

[golfguru]

15. Why are you against a Cain surge?

Cain will lose in general from lack of votes from the center. Romney could get a slim majority of centrist voters.

[thatsrightimirish]

9. It's an interesting race

There have so far been three popular alternatives to Romney. Bachmann, Perry, and Cain. And all three seem to go down around two weeks after they gain popularity. Romney's numbers have always stayed the same and i believe he will win the nomination.

[Auntie Bush]

10. As word gets out what his 9-9-9 plan really is...he'll sink like a stone to the

bottom of the sea where he will rot with all the other rotten fish/Rethugs. :)

[totodeinhere]

12. I know, but they have to nominate somebody. None of the other GOP candidates have anything

to help the average American either.

[Auntie Bush]

16. Correct! None on them give a rat's ass about the average American or 99%er.

[DavidDvorkin]

11. I hope not!

Assuming that Romney will win the nomination in the end, I'd love to see Cain still so close at that point that Romney decides to make Cain his running mate.

Ya gotta have a dream, and right now, that's mine. (It used to be a Palin/Bachmann ticket, but I finally gave that one up.)

[JoePhilly]

13. I can explain ... the Cain train is inane, racing towards insane, followed by disdain.

[EffieBlack]

17. Cain is too much of a loose cannon to be tolerated much longer by the folks who think he's so

entertaining now.

Once the white right wing Republicans who think he's so great figure out that he's not one of those "good Negroes" but is really a craven self-promoter who will turn on them if he thinks it advances his interests, they'll kick him to the curb.

[Andy823]

18. Yep, it's derailing

I think after tonight his numbers will start going down, but he will still be in second place because the "real" Rick Perry came out tonight, and it was a pretty sight at all! Perry is toast!