Reply #6: This poll bucks conventional wisdom

[tritsofme]

(this is what I said in another thread on this poll)

because dubya's approval rating is up, and yet he moves down again in the horserace.

Also, Kerry's lead is the largest amongst "likely voters" in which he leads 50-44, whereas he leads bush by least amount among "adults" when usually the opposite would be true.

This is the first time any candidate held a lead outside of the MOE since April 16 when bush did, and the first time Kerry broke through 50% since March 5, coming off the primary wins.

Overall, I want to say this poll is very good news for Kerry, but the discrepency between *'s approval rating and his performance in the horserace leaves me wondering.