Reply #19: In the face of ignorance...speculate!!!

[Manky George]

As a UK political researcher I declare every wish that the US ceases humiliating itself by electing idiots like Bush. But reading these pitiful attempts to challenge the integrity of the Gallup poll is not going to help you. You all miss a fundamental point in polling methodology - every single poll has more or less of each political group sampled. But this is then factored in the projected figures - work it out...it's not a straight line extrapolation.

Let me put it another way. If polling companies simply sampled specifics voters for each party, wouldn't the results exactly replicate the percentages chosen? This isn't happening here. And the evidence? The polls keep fluctuating despite consistent sampling.

This isn't an easy message to take but it might just be that John Kerry is less popular that Bush right now - that is what they are telling every polling organization. That's unlikely to be a view that's prevalent on this site for the obvious reason that we all want Kerry to win.

Oh, finally, the conspiracy notion is not credible...it really isn't. However, I'm always open to incontrovertible proof as opposed to outraged posturing. Let's stick to the facts.