Reply #4: Three separate terrorism/espionage related suitcases found today!

[shockingelk]

If today is a typical day, each day 1 out of every two billion people find a lost terrorism/espinoge related suitcase.

55 years is about 20,000 days. Assuming 55 as an average global life span and each person is equally likely to find a terrorism/espionage related suitcase on any given day, each of us has a 1/200,000 chance of finding a terrorism/espionage related suitcase sometime during their lives.

The population of the United States is about 300,000,000. Each year, one can expect nearly 54 terrorism/espionage related suitcases to be found by US citizens ((300 million/2 billion) * 365).

The Pentagon keeps claiming that there are about 5,000 insurgents in Iraq, and each month, they report arresting 1,000-2,000 insurgents. Taking the average, there are about 3,500 insurgents in Iraq who are not arrested each month. Thankfully, we can conclude that in a given month, there is only a 0.005% (1 out of 20,000) chance that an insurgent terrorist in Iraq finds a terrorism/espionage related suitcase and is not arrested by coalition forces.