I am not sure why Biden, or others, might think there is any reason to believe that the insurgency will end on July 1.
The only way I see things "calming down" is with the re-establishment of harsh authoritarian rule by the new Iraqi puppet government.
Exactly how the new gov is going to pull this off is unclear, as the new police and military are absurdly unprepared for duty and seem to be outgunned and outmaneuvered by the insurgents.
I really don't see the end of this thing. I think it is foolish to be optimistic -- and that pains me to say. Chaos is going to continue into the forseeable future.
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