Reply #9: They claim to be 95% confident that they reported results...

[whistle]

...within +/- 3.0%. What that means is that if the poll were to be repeated say a total of 100 times, 95 times the results that were being reported by the initial poll would come within +3.0 epercentage points to -3.0 percentage points. So if the current poll finds that Bush leads 47.1% to 46.0% for Kerry, that actually means that the results are 6.0 points around those 95 chances out a one hundred. Repeated polls taken unbder the exact same conditions could show Kerry leading about as many time as it shows Bush leading as well as showing both candidates tied in many cases. About 5 time in 100 the results might be significantly different than what is shown.

Look for trends not specific poll results. The trends show Kerry beating Bush. Over the coming weeks those trends will be more solidified and I am confident that Kerry will take back the lead and keep it going into the election. So, Bush will begin to fight dirtier as we near election day. Try this link:

http://www.pollkatz.homestead.com/