A survey of 400 likely voters completed in May by the political consulting firm of Fabrizio, McLaughlin and Associates finds that if the election were held now 46 percent would be more likely to vote for the Democratic candidate, 24 percent for the Republican candidate while 29 percent are unsure.
Sen. Hillary Clinton leads the field in West Virginia for ’08 at this stage of the campaign. Clinton has a favorable rating of 45 percent, more than Rudy Guilianai (40 percent), Barack Obama (39 percent) and John McCain (36 percent).
Clinton does, however, have higher negatives than the other three. Thirty-nine percent say they have an unfavorable opinion of Clinton compared with 33 percent for Giuliani, 31 percent for Obama and 30 percent for McCain.
The research also shows that if the election were held now Clinton would carry West Virginia in a head to head match-up with McCain or Giuliani. Clinton beats McCain 41 percent to 34 percent with 25 percent undecided and beats Giuliani 42 percent to 36 percent with 22 percent undecided.
The Clinton numbers are surprising, especially when you consider how West Virginia voters view themselves. Thirty seven percent of those surveyed describe themselves as conservative while only 22 percent say they are liberal.
Obama against McCain or Obama against Giuliani are dead heats in West Virginia.
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