Reply #13: No, actually it is NOT.

[Milo_Bloom]

A is 100% false.

Look at the numbers

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04dem.htm

Between 15-25% fell into the other/not sure column.

In 08, it is EXACTLY the same.
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08dem.htm

The mistake you are making is considering Al Gore an actual candidate instead of combining those numbers into OTHER where they belong.


Add Al Gore's Numbers to the "unsure" numbers and they track 04 nearly IDENTICALLY.

CNN/USA/Gallup 2004 9/8-9/10 Poll 17% in Unsure/Other Category

CNN 2008 9/7-9/9 Poll 16% in Unsure/Other (Al Gore) Category
Gallup/USA 2008 9/7-9/8 Poll 22% in Other/Al Gore/Unsure category

FOX 2004 9/23-9/24 Poll 26% in Unsure/Other/Wouldn't vote category
FOX 2008 9/11-9/12 Poll 22% in Unsure/Other/Al Gore/Wouldn't vote category



In reality, 2008 is tracking 2004 quite well and the numbers prove that out very nicely.