Reply #15: Even if he wins Iowa, he's trailing by HUGE margins

[geek tragedy]

in New Hampshire and South Carolina. A candidate needs to be within striking distance in those states before the Iowa caucuses to win. Edwards simply isn't in striking distance.

Moreover, his idiotic decision to go for public financing means that he'll be at a HUGE disadvantage in terms of money. He won't be able to dent the media markets in NJ, NY, CA, or IL.

Reality is that he's behind Clinton in every state, including his own home state. He's behind by 30 points in South Carolina and 25 points behind in New Hampshire. He can expect maybe a +15 points swing from Iowa. So, he wins Iowa, loses NH, loses SC, and has no money to compete on February 5.

Dead man walking.