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Zogby: Obama ahead in California; tied in Missouri and New Jersey (also ahead in Utah) [View All]

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cali Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Feb-03-08 07:00 AM
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Zogby: Obama ahead in California; tied in Missouri and New Jersey (also ahead in Utah)
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by dumbya
Sat Feb 02, 2008 at 10:37:59 PM PST
I apologize for the brevity of my diary; however, I think the results speak for themselves. Zogby has some pretty surprising results in his latest polls, which are to be released tomorrow.

dumbya's diary :: ::
Both parties have staged tight, seesawing battles for the nominations for November's presidential election. Clinton, the New York senator, and Obama split the first four Democratic contests -- Obama won Iowa and South Carolina, while Clinton won New Hampshire and Nevada.

In California, the poll found Obama led Clinton by 45 percent to 41 percent, with a margin of error of 2.9 percentage points. Clinton held statistically insignificant 1-point leads on Obama in New Jersey and Missouri, well within the margin of error of 3.4 percentage points in both surveys.
It would be an extraordinary feat to see Obama come within 1 point of Hillary in New Jersey, considering that it's her backyard. Hillary also had a huge lead in Missouri just over a week ago, but now it seems that it has evaporated into thin air.

Furthermore, Obama appears to be consolidating his lead in Georgia.

Obama, an Illinois senator who would be the first black U.S. president, has a comfortable 20-point lead in Georgia fueled by a more than 3-to-1 advantage over Clinton among black voters.
From the polling results, we can ascertain that this race is precipitously shifting in favor of Obama.

Update: Many people are criticizing Zogby and some of their criticisms may be fair. however, the Field Poll will be coming out tomorrow and it will also show that the race in California is a dead heat, thus corroborating the results of Zogby's poll that shows a dramatic shift towards Obama. Special thanks to SUBLIMINABILITY for pointing this out in the comments

2nd Update:Obama has opened up a huge lead in Utah, a state that was also firmly in Clinton's camp last month.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/2/3/13042/84123/818/448690
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