15. "He might not react well...." is an important part of the equation
From what we see, shrub appears to be completely around the bend. I think his handlers are terrified that one of these days he's going to lose it on national TV. They're protecting him from himself by keeping him in a cocoon where he never gets exposed to protests or difficult questions.
How they plan to win an election with this strategy is beyond me. Either they're counting on a big boost from some event between now and the election, or they're counting on a stolen election.
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