5 Reasons Why Obama Can Win Georgia

[wyldwolf]

From MSNBC:

...why does Obama think he can put the state -- where he visits today and also had two fundraisers last night -- in play? The reasons:

1) It's one of the youngest states in the union, and he’s likely to over-perform with young voters;

2) He can register more African-American voters and then maximize turnout;

3) The state's teeming with non-native voters, who might be more willing to vote Democratic;

4) Bob Barr's name is on the ballot, and that could draw conservatives; and

5) The Obama camp is hoping evangelicals in the state sit on their hands for McCain.

Obama needs all five of these factors to come true to make Georgia competitive, which won’t be easy. If Obama ever starts pulling resources from a state to focus on others, we're guessing that Georgia, which isn’t a cheap place to advertise, is one of the first states they'd yank cash from. But they'll wait and see how their voter registration drive goes in that state first.

Source: First Read/MSNBC, "First Thoughts: Adding It Up", July 8, 2008

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/07/08/1186505.aspx