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In a nutshell, everything the republicans expected has not happened.
For years the republicans have been planning that Hillary would win the 2008 convention. I love Hillary, would have supported her 110% but let's face it, she does carry a bit of baggage that I'm sure the republicans were all ready to exploit, but instead Obama won.
And then the Republicans figured Obama will have to pick Hillary as his VP - they could use the baggage then but Obama picked Joe Biden, which again did not fit into their plan. Biden doesn't carry much baggage and is probably one of the most skilled debaters you'll find in any party.
So then the republicans decided to make the DNC convention out to be divided and disorganized. So-called 'Hillary Supporters' were unhappy at their exclusion and were ready to bring down the nomination in order to get Hillary on the ticket. But instead we saw not one, but TWO Clintons enthusiastically endorse Barack Obama. When Hillary said "Were you in this just for me" she put right out there on the table that this election was more than just getting a woman in the White House - Hillary really pulled the party together and for that I will always be grateful to her.
And to make matters worse, Obama hit a homerun out of Mile High Stadium. The Republicans tried to mock the switch in venue - Obama was trying to be a celebrity, Obama was tried to be some sort of Greek God surrounded by columns. But instead Obama gave a speech heard loud & clear from a stadium mile high up in the air. Not only was our party unified but we were electrified and our convention was a homerun.
I honest think that Tim Pawlenty was the VP choice up until that final speech by Obama. The republicans realized that everything they expected to happen in the democratic party did NOT happen and knew they had to find away to appease the fundies AND perhaps a few stupid women who thinks ovaries are more important than the right to choose what is best for our own bodies. So at the last minute they pulled in Sarah Palin.
So here is my prediction - Sarah Palin will stay as the VP nominee until AFTER the VP debates. At that time one of the many scandals (and that includes a pro-abstience education mom having a pregnant 17 year old daughter) will force Palin to step down and then the real VP choice will come in. If anything, I think it WILL be either the daughter or Sarah's newborn child that will be the catalyst that has Palin step down. That way the republicans can scream "Look, she's just trying to be a good mother so lets not hold her decision to leave against us republicans. We were happy to have her on the ticket". McCain will either bring in Pawlenty OR will figured he did appease the anti-choice fundies and bring in Romney, Ridge or Lieberman.
That's my guess.
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