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Hamlette
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Tue Sep-02-08 06:43 PM Original message |
| Are you guys watching the state polls? It is EXCELLENT news. |
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Edited on Tue Sep-02-08 06:44 PM by Hamlette
I've been watching NH and CO as by my model, those are the most likely to put us over the top. With those two states, we don't need Ohio, FL or VA. We need those two plus IA and NM and all Kerry states. All Kerry states look good.
I've been watching the odds from Nate over at fivethirtyeight and just today there has been some big movement. He shows: NH is a 71% chance of win for Obama (was 67% this am) OH is 56% chance for Obama (was "red" this am) CO is a 64% chance for Obama (was 62% this am and 56% last Friday) PA is 88% MI is 72% IA is 83% NM is 86% Va is 60% By this model, we win over 303 electoral votes. Talk about a bounce!!!!!!! http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ Look at the states turn blue down the left hand side.  |
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