Which was less than his national popular vote margin. State polls lag behind national polls. Many of the new state polls are probably reflecting last week's Bush bounce more than he retains of that.
Still, if Bush is legitimately ahead by 3-5 points nationally, he figures to lead in a bellwether state like Wisconsin, which has been less than 2% away from the national popular vote margin in each of the last three presidential elections.
Kerry needs to win the popular vote. Dependence on plucking individual states is not likely to evict this asshole at 1600.
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