Reply #5: There were only two big bounce polls,

[Lefty Pragmatist]

and they were both from the same source. Time 9/2 had Bush +12 and Time 9/9 had Bush +10. All the other polls have it a tight race, with Bush slightly ahead, whereas previously it was a tight race with Kerry slightly ahead: http://www.pollingreport.com/wh2004.htm

Far more importantly, the EV projections, after a slight sway to Bush, have now come back into line. On 9/12, Election Projection has Bush +32 (http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2004.html), Rasmussen has Bush +38 (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Electoral%20College%20Projection.htm) and on 9/13 Electoral Vote has Kerry +36 (http://www.electoral-vote.com).

All the EV projections show, in effect, a dead heat.