New TIME poll methodology

[featherman]

http://www.time.com/time/press_releases/article/0,8599,701890,00.html

"Methodology
This TIME magazine poll was conducted by telephone September 21-23, 2004 among a random sample of 1,178 adults throughout the U.S. The random sample includes 1,014 reported registered voters and 877 likely voters. The margin of error for registered voters is approximately +/-3 percentage points. The margin of error for likely voters is approximately +/- 4% points. Likely voters reported party identifications are: 36% Republican, 31% Democratic, 24% Independents. Registered voters party affiliations are: 36% Republican, 30% Democratic, 24% Independent. 52% of respondents were female while 48% were male."

Results: Bush 48 Kerry 42 Nader 5 Other/Und 5
Why is this not surprising?