Reply #15: I haven't seen any polls in VA with Webb ahead in a few weeks

[Ediacara]

Webb got a huge boost after the macaca incident, but Allen has rebounded. I think Webb can win in the end due to the NIE and Allen's foot-in-mouth, but right now, I see it as TCTC. If there is anything recent showing a Webb lead I'd love to see it.

In Tennessee, there have been two recent polls (that I know of) that show Ford ahead after almost everything showing Corker ahead. The poll that showed a big lead was produced by a company I've never heard of and I think is probably an internal Ford campaign polling outfit. If the polling trend that showed up only two weeks ago continues, I'll happily predict a Ford victory.

In Missouri, the polling has always been close, but about 2/3 of all the polls from a variety of outfits for the last year have been in McCaskill's favor. Couple that with the fact she's running against an unpopular Senator who barely won in a "big Republican year," and I think that indicates that she'll probably win in the end. Not by much, and there certainly is the chance that Talent could win, but I think it'll end up as a McCaskill victory.