Reply #14: I think 50-50 is quite likely

[liberalpragmatist]

I'm biased towards a McCaskill (D) victory in Missouri because I've been doing volunteer work for that campaign. It LOOKS like Claire will be able to pull it out - the most recent polls all have her ever-so-slightly ahead and Talent has not yet cracked 50%. But it'll go down-to-the-wire and I certainly wouldn't dismiss the possibility of a Talent win.

I wish that in Maryland Democrats had nominated Rep. Chris Van Hollen. Cardin seems like a good guy, but he's unfortunately very dull and has run a very complacent campaign. Plus, he has repeatedly underperformed, even in the primary, where he only narrowly edged out Mfume despite being well-ahead of him in money and establishment support.

I think we'll hold onto the Maryland Senate seat, but it's gonna be a lot closer than we would have liked.