Reply #36: When getting excited about polls just before elections, consider this......

[suston96]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_primary-194.html

Obama Clinton Edwards Richardson Spread
Final Results - - 36.4 39.0 16.9 4.6 Clinton +2.6
RCP Average 01/05 - 01/07 - 38.3 30.0 18.3 5.7 Obama +8.3

Suffolk/WHDH 01/06 - 01/07 500 LV 39 34 15 4 Obama +5.0
American Res. Group 01/06 - 01/07 600 LV 40 31 20 4 Obama +9.0
ReutersC-Span/Zogby 01/05 - 01/07 862 LV 42 29 17 5 Obama +13.0
Rasmussen 01/05 - 01/07 1774 LV 37 30 19 8 Obama +7.0
CNN/WMUR/UNH 01/05 - 01/06 599 LV 39 30 16 7 Obama +9.0
Marist 01/05 - 01/06 636 LV 36 28 22 7 Obama +8.0
CBS News 01/05 - 01/06 323 LV 35 28 19 5 Obama +7.0

Read the last column........That was the day of the NH election.......

Get the point?