Reply #7: That Dukakis 17-point lead was a One Poll fluke. I believe it was Gallup.

[TruthIsAll]

It has become an Urban legend.

I know, if the election were held today, blah, blah , blah..
We must not take anything for granted, blah, blah, blah..
We must fight like we are behind, blah, blah, blah..
We must not get too complacent, blah, blah, blah...

Jeez, enough of these cliches already! If you don't appreciate my analysis, don't pay attention to it.

This "Seminal Poster", whatever the hell that means, will not pay any attention to ONE bogus poll. That Dukakis lead was pure bogus polling fiction. VP Bush was the effective incumbent and he had a 10 -point lead right after the convention.

Kerry has been CONSISTENTLY in the lead by 3% since February and is just now opening clear daylight of 6% between him and Bush. And that's in 15 national and all state polls.

I suggest you read this:
http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html