Reply #2: I agree, the only thing certain is that NOTHING is certain.

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I will wait to see what the polls look like after the republican national convention, that's the first accurate look as to how the race might end up.

then after that, it's to the debates. the real nail-biter is going to be the last week or two before the election when voters have always either decided to stick with the guy in office or kick him out by huge margins. :)