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You're thinking all of New England is Kerry's, right? I wonder why New Mexico seems so deep in the blue after going for Gore by only about 300 votes last time. Is it Hispanic population growth?
Speaking of which, how much of a factor will new immigrant voters be in AZ? (Mexicans plus refugees from California) Are they properly weighted in the AZ polls?
I think it's good news that only five of those on your list of thirteen are Gore states. The front lines are deep into enemy territory. Win all of the Gore states plus New Hampshire and just one of the non-Gore states on your list and the White House goes back into adult hands. (Actually if that one is WV or NV, it's a tie, throwing the election into the House* UNLESS Colorado votes splitting up its electors, in which case Kerry would win. (I'm thinking that that ballot initiative in CO will apply to this year's electoral college.)
*It would be the House elected this November.
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