Reply #4: The "final" exit polls have been pretty accurate in the past

[gulogulo]

the "raw" exit polls, on the other hand, have been known to be wildly wrong (something that apparently your article's author is not aware of):

http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2004_11/005178.php

He looks at the previous four presidential elections' exit polls

"As you can see, the raw exit poll results always overstate the Democratic vote, sometimes by as much as eight percentage points. So the fact that the raw results this year overstated Kerry's actual vote tally is hardly cause for alarm."

So, as you see, 2004 is hardly an exception in how wrong the "raw" exit polls were.

(Edit: URL)