Basic Dynamics of Exit Polling

[RaulVB]

Again, might be interesting to review concepts:

1. Exit Polls are the ones made AT THE EXIT OF A POLLING PLACE.

2. Depending on the hour of a day, you'll see some inaccurate results.
The early exit polls are not as good as THE LAST BATCH OF EXIT POLLS.

The odds of inaccuracy for THE LAST BATCH OF EXIT POLLS IN ANY COUNTRY, in any fair election, NEVER GOES OVER THE ACCEPTABLE MOE. For more on that, check TIA's works.

3. In a fair election, THE EXIT POLLS NEVER CONTRADICT THE ACTUAL RESULTS OF THE ELECTION.

4. EXIT POLLS ARE A USEFUL TOOL EVERYWHERE. THEY PREVENT FRAUD FROM HAPPENING. THE ONLY COUNTRY WHERE THEY "FAIL" ON REGULAR BASIS IS THE US.

5. In any country, after the last batch of polls is received, THE CANDIDATE GOES IN PUBLIC RECORD PROCLAIMING HIMSELF AS A PROBABLE WINNER.

They are that good.

6. In any country, the networks posted results ON THE TV SCREEN NEVER CONTRADICT THE EXIT POLL NUMBERS.

The opposite happened from the "get go" here in the US. No explanation.

So there you have it.

If you think "*" "won", you leave in a parallel universe, I'm afraid.