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Reply #44: I have thought of doing a similar analysis. Glad you did it.
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TruthIsAll
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Tue Nov-30-04 06:37 PM
Response to Reply #40 |
44. I have thought of doing a similar analysis. Glad you did it. |
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Its really obvious. FL and OH both had less than one percent probability of shifting as they did. These two states are necessary AND sufficient for a Bush "win".
The rest were shifted to pad the popular vote to make it appear that Bush won not only a mandate, but also to discourage any researchers from even considering that the election was close.
In fact, the padding is prima facie evidence.
Ii's a simple calculation to determine that the odds are 1 in 200 trillion that 16 states would move beyond the Exit poll MOE to Bush.
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