Reply #51: I make a distinction between rational and irrational predictions.

[Silverhair]

Let's take a look at you OBL one. I don't think he will be found in 2006 either. However, look at the posts before the election and you will find many who were saying the OBL was in a hidden jail and they were going to "catch" him just before the election.

There were many posts that Bush would cancel the elections.

There were many posts that Bush would not show up for the debates.

There were precitions of Martial Law. Still lots of those.

Those are the type of wild-eye irrational predictions that I am taking issue with. And if you post in one of those threads rational reason why the prediction just won't come true, you get ridiculed and flamed.

Thoughtful rational specualtion based on evidence is a different thing entirely.