I think Murray will win WA Senate race, here is why

[usregimechange]

First, I predicted the CO results correctly the same way:

I think Bennett will win in CO, here is why
http://www.democraticunderground.org/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x9457316

CNN results

Murray (Incumbent)
722,701 50%

Rossi
709,024 50%
65% reported (estimate)


County analysis

Both Republican and Democratic areas are out. Spokane has 42% out and King County (Seattle) has 55% reporting.

Murray got about 89,000 votes out of King county. Assuming the rest of the results from King are at the same spread she can expect to get another 80,000 from there.

Rossi can expect to get 10,000 from Spokane. Maybe 9,000 from Benton co...
9,000 from Yakima.
3,000 from Lewis.
2,000 from Celan.
Probably another 20,000 from the rest of the rural Republican counties.

= 43,000.

Now, King county isn't the only Dem county out. But you can figure there are another 15,000 out there. So here is the math.


The math

95,000 Dem votes
43,000 Rep votes =

Increase for Murray of 52,000 and she is already up by 13,000. =

Senator Murray and 53 Dem seat majority!