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Reply #68: Not 'cured'; run their course without fatality. [View All]

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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-25-09 02:44 PM
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68. Not 'cured'; run their course without fatality.
Significant difference. There is no 'cure' for a viral disease, whether acute or chronic, once infection has taken place.

Also, there have been far fewer observed cases in the US at present than in Mexico. Lacking depth of data for comparison, it's premature to say 'nothing to worry about'.

Present reports from Mexico indicate +/- 1000 known cases, with around 70 deaths, which do not fit the common profile of flu fatalities (having occurred in otherwise healthy adults between 25 and 45 years of age). This mortality profile is similar to the 1918 Spanish flu (which caused a cytokine storm; massive over-response from the immune system, resulting in death). The mortality rates for the 1918 flu are estimated at 2.5-5%, with fatalities estimated at between 20 and 100 million. It's early, but so far, the mortality rate in Mexico is at SEVEN percent, which, combined with the mortality profile, is worrying. Saying 'there's nothing to worry about' is at best uninformed; whether there's anything significant to worry about will become clear in coming weeks.
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