Reply #42: You're a little late to the game

[Iterate]

I've followed the topic of Gaddafi demographics and popularity more closely than most, or maybe even closer than anyone on the site.

One poll was taken in the east in April, and a second one planned but not complete. I have the original study somewhere here, but I don't know if it's been translated. This was a media report of the study:
http://english.libya.tv/2011/04/25/eastern-libyans-believe-in-national-unity-distrust-au-and-turkish-mediation-survey-reveals/

There are plenty of other ways to gauge support, the worst of which is a youtube clip that begins with dramatic music. If you want a dozen more of those, I have links.

With the best estimates that I can gather, I'd place pro-Gaddafi support in single digits nationwide. It's more accurate to go city-by-city, where it's nearly zero in places like Zintan, Yefren, or Derna, or in the 20-30% range like Bani-Walid or Ajaylat.

There appeared to be only about five cities with any serious support, and only in Sirte would I say that it was a majority. Even in Sirte though, Gaddafi security forces spent the time and energy in late May to go house-by-house removing all satellite dishes so that residents could only receive controlled information.

ETA:
Measuring Public Opinion under Political Repression
http://www.unc.edu/depts/diplomat/item/2011/0104/comm/horne_measuring.html