Pew Poll: Obama Favored by Early Voters as Lead Widens Over McCain

[Hissyspit]

Source: Pew Research Center for People & The Press

Pew Poll: Obama Favored By Early Voters As Lead Widens Over McCain
October 28th, 2008
By JOE GANDELMAN, Editor-In-Chief

A new Pew Research Center poll shows Republican Presidential candidate Sen. John McCain’s lead shrinking — and underlines the impact early voting could have on this and future elections.

The convenience of voting early is taking the nation by storm. And it could have a hard-nosed impact on this and even more so in future elections: the old conventional wisdom that an election can be swayed by last minute charges or events may become less operative, since early voting ensures that a good chunk of voters will have cast their ballots before the campaign’s closing days. And this chunk of the voting pool can be expected to grow as early voting continues to catch on. Pew finds:

Barack Obama leads John McCain by a 52% to 36% margin in Pew’s latest nationwide survey of 1,325 registered voters. This is the fourth consecutive survey that has found support for the Republican candidate edging down. In contrast, since early October weekly Pew surveys have shown about the same number of respondents saying they back Obama. When the sample is narrowed to those most likely to vote, Obama leads by 53% to 38%.

A breakdown of voting intentions by demographic groups shows that since mid- September, McCain’s support has declined significantly across most voting blocs. Currently, McCain holds a statistically significant advantage only among white evangelical Protestants (aside from Republicans). In addition, Obama runs nearly even with McCain in the so-called red states, all of which George W. Bush won in 2004.

Read more: http://themoderatevoice.com/politics/polls/approval-ratings/23842/pew-poll-obama-favored-by-early-voters-as-lead-widens-over-mccain/

[Drunken Irishman]

1. Pew was pretty spot on in 2004.

They had Bush up 48-45 on Oct. 31st.

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=232

[Patsy Stone]

2. Where does McCain have a lead left to shrink?

Oklahoma?

[Xipe Totec]

3. Losing the lead in Oklahoma as well

[Cirque du So-What]

5. Whoop-dee-doo! He just may carry Wyoming!

[grytpype]

4. "McCain holds a statistically significant advantage only among white evangelical Protestants" ROFL

:rofl:

[Xipe Totec]

6. Also with Log Cabin Jews for Jesus nt

[Patsy Stone]

9. Also among old Cubans in Miami

They're still voting against JFK.

[Ken Burch]

10. What's with those pendejos viejos? Isn't it enough that they shot him in Dallas?

:sarcasm:

[bigdarryl]

7. Is this there final poll before election day

[Zhade]

8. Um, WHAT lead? Mcthuselah isn't leading.

NT!

[populistdriven]

11. what the heck was that poll Olbermann had for EV that showed them in a dead heat?