http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5529535/site/newsweek/<snip>
And this isn’t normally fighting season, because it’s too damn hot. The average high temperature in what’s called the Sunni Triangle is about 111 degrees in July and August. Even flies don’t like to go out in the sun. But come October, the average high drops below 90, and the action picks up. Then the Muslim holy month of Ramadan will begin about October 16. Last year, when Ramadan fell in November, it became by far the bloodiest month of the occupation up to that time.
So even if there were no American election in the offing, an upsurge in Iraqi violence would be likely. But since there is an election, insurgents and terrorists will do whatever they can to humiliate the president by slaughtering the troops and contractors and diplomats he sent into their midst. The insurgents can’t know—none of us can—how new atrocities will affect the voters back home. But if October gets very violent, no one should be surprised.
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