Poll: Kerry getting vision, message to voters (Marist Poll)

[Khephra]

ALBANY, N.Y. -- A national poll released Wednesday found Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry changed the perception of many voters in his party's convention, getting across his vision and appearing ready to become a world leader.

The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion poll, however, also found the Massachusetts senator gained little of the traditional post-convention bounce in popularity and remains neck-in-neck with Republican President George Bush.

"I think going into the convention, a lot of Kerry support was anti-Bush," said Marist pollster Lee Miringoff. "The biggest change in voters' perceptions of John Kerry as a result of the Democratic National Convention is that a growing number thinks he has a vision for the future, is respected by leaders throughout the world, and is ready to be president,"

Kerry has the support of 45 percent of the voters nationwide to Bush's 44 percent, a statistical tie. Independent challenger Ralph Nader had 3 percent and 8 percent were undecided.

http://www.newsday.com/news/local/wire/ny-bc-ny--presidentialpoll0804aug04,0,3731241.story?coll=ny-ap-regional-wire

[vickie]

1. I believe Kerry's "bounce" from in the convention is measured

mostly by the gains he's made in the way the people perceive him as a candidate. While the 'horse race' number wasn't as big a bounce a some previous conventions - the increases on the way that voters perceive him as a candidate and as a man, have made significant increases. In addition, the way that voters rate him with the issues have had significant upticks as well.

For instance, the numbers of his perception as commader in chief, how he would handle the terror threat and how he would manage the fiasco in Iraq have improved dramatically.

I think that's why he's been drawing such mammoth crowds, as well. People are beginning to get to know him. (That and the fact that he doesn't require rally attendees to sign a loyalty oath...like Pork Chop Cheney did)

Al

Vickie Carter
Redondo Beach, CA

[NewYorkerfromMass]

5. Excellent analysis vickie

and I'd say "welcome", but I see you've been here at DU a LONG time.

[lancdem]

6. I agree

that's what Ruy Teixeira says on his blog, http://www.emergingdemocraticmajority.com

And I think that while big bounces often dissipate, Kerry's gains on issues could be permanent.

[Shadder]

2. Little bounce, huh?

This would indicate otherwise...



And add this in from yesterday:

"Finally, the suspense is over. We now know whether there was a post-convention bounce for Kerry. Answer: there was. Of course, there always is, and it evens up after the other convention, but for the moment, Kerry has received a boost. He is now ahead in the electoral college 328 to 210, with all 50 states and D.C. reporting for duty (we had two ties until today). The Wall Street Journal's estimate using a different methodology is 318 to 220. Close enough for government work."

http://www.electoral-vote.com/aug/aug03.html

[tandot]

3. Here is some more from your newsday article:

SNIP
In the nation's 17 so-called battleground states where neither candidate has a clear advantage, Kerry had the support of 49 percent of registered voters and Bush had 42 percent, according to the poll.

SNIP

In other results among registered voters nationwide:

_49 approve of the job Bush is doing in office; 47 percent disapprove.

_55 percent disapprove of Bush's handling of the Iraq war.

_51 percent disapprove of Bush's handling of the economy.

_52 percent approve of Bush's handling of the war on terrorism.

_49 percent felt the nation was headed in the right direction.



Bush's numbers on the Iraq war and war on terrorism declined dramatically. And 8% of voters have not made up their minds yet.

I think Laura should stop campaigning and should start packing up their things. Kerry will move into the White House come January.

[Rose Siding]

4. 7 point lead in the battleground states

That's where it counts