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Possibly the media has been asked to swallow a bit too much. It is apparent that the "other bounce" that was serendipitously added to the Convention show was thew SWBVT slur factor. That was starting to get slammed and reversed just before W snuck into NYC and tried to seamlessly build in a higher tone, few specifics negativity.
Separating the two AFTER all the headline damage possible has been done is trying to clamp down and separate BOTH advantages and fix "closeness" and "folks are already decided" in digital cement. First a big lie- then a little brief truth- then more big lie- wait for it wait for it- OK a little truth if you insist.
And so on to November. Whether it works or not it also serves to occupy(love that word) the Dems until the predictable Rose garden roundhouse and debate(survive means thrive)lays more smoke for endless vote fraud.
About debates. With no fixed structure the incumbent(in this case a desperate tyrant) gets the last word- maybe. Carter led the way to disaster by being both fair and unsuspecting. Survive. Simply show up and look OK, while intimate knowledge of the predictable rule keeping Dem might even be fed into the world's most sophisticated earplug. Then thrive(second debate watched mostly by revved up, suspense ridden
base nuts) if there is "no knockout punch" and the Mr. Personality game is stolen. That is hardly a debate of the issues and record although the media will shuffle judgments and "equal" critiques until the readership is bored to tears and indifference.
Common sense polls here are less prone to inbuilt fantasy and when they are, they are painfully visible. The pro star gazers on the other hand, Nostradamus fashion and eager to sell, are doing what most bad pros do- something besides their primary job. If you work under lousy management, you know what epidemic I am talking about. According to our talks among people, Bush core(a losing minority) is holding steady but not very enthusiastic. The ABB crowd has grown within Bush's own party and ekes into the core, especially honest naifs who suddenly have felt the effects of the sucker pyramid scam that is their unlikely coalition. The military continues to percolate away from Bush. Michael Moore's film(now subject verboten in substance in the media) will have a larger effect than any other book or visual(which is too bad since Moore is still way too kind to Bush as are most of his enemies). The Dems are united. Labor is turning out more than ever(No NPR buts please, the fact means more passion, more people, more votes). Bush is acting very exposed on the lousiest record imaginable for an incumbent. For once he needs an absolute Pravda and no one can get that.
Their blunders in the black cloak department are exposed and incompetent, often counter-productive. Bushco putting the best face on things is more than a bluff, but it still is a bluff. An attempt to shut down vote fraud BEFORE the election, more oil lines taken out by non-card carrying BFEE Arab resistance. Even if the general public gets nothing else, exposure to Kerry and Bush and the evil background of Bushco results will drive the subconscious except for short bursts of blindness.
Grind the numbers down. Let the polls be a guide to that satisfying work, but anecdotal experience with people will be a safer guide to how things are really going. The media use of polls is a trap. They are just poor things to hang your emotional life on. Don't let them determine momentum and the self-serving prophecy that allows them to keep their "scientific" credentials within the mystical "margin of error". I have HEARD a Zogby pollster on NPR and the kindly pushing for opinion. The whole field ain't that great. It's just the slack jawed media looking for some experts to bail them out of doing their own job.
And nothing in the spin can disguise the trouble Bush is in- and going
down down down.
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