Rasmussen too close to call - Bush 48.2 Kerry 46.5

[TomClash]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

[WI_DEM]

1. a little bit of a dip for Kerry from yesterday 47-47

but much better than TIME, NEWSWEEK, GALLUP

[kstewart33]

2. THIS IS NOT A DIP FOR KERRY

It is great news. Remember--Rasmussen said that this day's report would exclude the Saturday polling (it's a 3-day tracking poll) and he expected that Bush would be up 4-5 POINTS today. Saturday's results he believed were unusually high for Kerry--a squirrely finding which sometimes happens in polling.

This is very good news DUers.

[City Lights]

4. You are so right.

Thanks for pointing that out. :-)

[lancdem]

5. Exactly

I just realized the Tuesday number must've been pretty good for Kerry, because if Saturday was super for Kerry, and now that's gone, the fact Kerry only went from a tie to trailing by 1.7 percent means Tuesday must not have been great for Bush.

Also, keep in mind Bush was actually ahead by 3 in the Rasmussen poll going into the convention, so he's actually lost some of that lead.

[fertilizeonarbusto]

3. Bounce over

n/t

[goclark]

6. I have not heard one word about the polls are TV today??

I wonder why? This should be major news!!

[Frodo]

7. Rassmussen doesn't draw a lot of coverage from the media.

1) He has a pretty poor track record

2) His automated calling system is not favored by most polling firms.

3) His numbers have remained so steady - even while others have swung wildly up and down - makes him unexciting. One and two point swings in a 3% M.O.E. poll don't get people's blood flowing.

Edit - Oh yeah! 4) He doesn't work for any of those media giants. They all have their own polling firms.

[Misunderestimator]

8. LMAO... What? I think that having steady numbers gives more credence

to his polls.

[TexasBushwhacker]

9. Thursday's numbers better

Since Rasmussen runs on a three day rolling average, we should see improvement for the next 3 days due to the fallout over the 60 Minutes broadcast and the associated news coverage.

Sept. 8th - Bush - 48.2, Kerry - 46.5
Sept. 9th - Bush - 47.5, Kerry - 46.8
Sept. 10th?
Sept. 11th?