Newsweek poll has Bush lead at 6, drops 5 points in week

[lancdem]

Even better, it's just a 5-point lead in a two-way race, and his approval rating's below 50 percent again, at 48 percent.

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/040911/nysa006_1.html

[xray s]

1. oh look! a picture of the Bush campaign!

[PROGRESSIVE1]

2. hahahahahahahaha

[fearnobush]

31. A train Wreck, excellent. I've calling his last 4 years a train wreck

for quite a while now, and the Freepers at work don't like it. Thats why they shut up.

[napi21]

3. ALLRIGHT!!! Remember, it's still 7+ weeks till Nov!

I really thin all the polling stuff is crap, but it is nice to see good news for your guy. Puts a smile on MY face!!!

[lancdem]

6. And it usually takes two weeks for a bounce to disappear

so this is very good news. It's a nice contrast from that Time poll.

[sonicx]

4. LOL, look at the sample demos...

391 Republicans (plus or minus 6)
300 Democrats (plus or minus 7)
270 Independents (plus or minus 7)

391 Republican states (plus or minus 7)
300 Democratic states (plus or minus 6)
270 Swing states (plus or minus 6)

514 Bush/Cheney supporters (plus or minus 5)
420 Kerry/Edward supporters (plus or minus 6)

also, kerry is LEADING independents...

who does newsweek think they're fooling? lol

[lancdem]

8. Wow, I didn't even see that!

That's an even worse ratio than last week, when it was 38 percent Repukes and 31 percent Dems, yet Kerry-Edwards are doing much better. If they had polled 39 Dem, 35 Repuke, which was the turnout in 2000, K-E might be ahead!

[sonicx]

10. why do these corporate polling people think republicans are going...

to turn out more? WE have beat them for years.

and kerry leads independents, so i don't see why we can't say kerry leads the whole thing.

[AndyTiedye]

23. They Are Factoring in Diebold and Voter Purges

Their ratios reflect the number of Democrats who they expect to be
allowed to vote and have their votes actually count.

[troublemaker]

13. Those are pre-weighting

"NOTE: Reported sample sizes for subgroups listed above are unweighted and should NOT be used to compute percentages."

[sonicx]

14. it says here that...

NOTE: Data are weighted so that sample demographics match Census Current
Population Survey parameters for gender, age, education, race and
region.

no party affiliation weight unless they forgot to list it.

plus the raw numbers say that kerry leads independents, so i don't know how he can't lead the whole poll.

[lancdem]

15. Yes, he has a 6-point lead among independents

which is great news, and Bush is polling at only 39 percent among that group, which is bad. Also, I noticed Kerry is now polling 87 percent of Dems and losing just 7 percent to Bush, which is major improvement in the past week.

[F.Gordon]

36. Thanks for pointing this out

It seems to me that they are only polling Democrats from "Democratic" States. If you look down in the poll only 12 states are listed as "Democratic".

CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, MD, MA, NJ, NY, RI, VT

[PartyPooper]

5. In other news, Kerry is ahead of Bush in electoral votes! 273 vs. 233.

http://www.electoral-vote.com

:kick:

[reprobate]

16. And electoral votes is the only number that counts.

We must not let the GOP run media scare us with these twisted polls. They will lose and they know it. They are trying to convince the people that bush is unstoppable. He is not unstoppable. He is the reincarnation of the emperor caligula. Little Boots they called him. Perfect name for *

[Snellius]

7. Who ARE these "undecideds" who keep flipflopping each week

"Bush lied. I'll vote for the other guy. No, the other guy flipflops too much. I don't like flipfloppers. They can't make up their mind. I've definitely changed my vote to the guy who never changes. No, wait, but ..."

[xray s]

9. here is a picture of one

[Toronto Ron]

29. No

that's your quintessential Repug voter.

[PROGRESSIVE1]

33. ................

[barb162]

25. I know these people. One doesn't like Kerry or Bush

and she won't watch the news, read the news, etc. She is a total tuneout.

[barb162]

27. I know one. She doesn't like Bush or Kerry

and she is a total tuneout.

[ruggerson]

11. YES!!!!!!!!!

[ruggerson]

12. And this is in a poll that is STILL oversampling Repubs!

[private_ryan]

17. if Kerry just takes Bush's lies and doesn't fight back

this lead will stay. Fight the same way they're fighting you...in this case dirty.

[George_Bonanza]

18. 90 more Republicans polled than Dems? What the hell?

[OilemFirchen]

19. Properly weighting for the turnout ratios of the 2000 election

The breakdown would be

Respondents:

Rep: 336
Dem: 375
Ind: 250

And the results...

Bush/Cheney: 45%
Kerry/Edwards: 47%
Nader/Camejo: 2%
Undec/Other: 6%

[West Coast Democrat]

22. Thanks! That's what I was interested in knowing...

and I think we'll have a turnout at least 10% larger than in 2000. I've never seen so many Democratic yardsigns in my life!

[Zynx]

28. I'm just going to call it tied.

[Algomas]

20. It looks to me like...

the media COULD be spinning the polls to make the race look close so that IF they rig the voting machines it will look like another squeaker for Bu$h. That in tandem with the dirty bomb they MAY plant in a shipping container or the POSSIBLE coming war in Iran in defense of our noble ally Israel should do the trick.

[sonicx]

21. i hate to keep slamming polls but...

this one makes less sense than their last one. kerry can't be losing if he leads independents...

Bush: 39
Kerry: 45

[Zynx]

32. That's correct.

He leads among Democrats almost as much as Bush leads among Republicans and yet still trails?

[barb162]

24. hooray, hooray.

Let's just keep that CBS investigation on the TX national guard story running a few more weeks and watch those numbers drop. WONDERFUL NEWS!!!!

[delete_bush]

26. Here's a sorry stat...

"74 percent of registered voters say Kerry is intelligent and well-informed compared to 59 percent who say so for Bush."

God forbid one should vote for the intelligent and well-informed cnadidate vs. the idiot that got us in our current mess.

[janx]

30. So much for the Swift Boat Vets Against Kerry FLOP:

And from what they've seen, heard or read about Democratic challenger Sen. John Kerry's military service in Vietnam, just 17 percent of registered voters say it has made them less likely to vote for him, the poll shows. Sixty-four percent say it hasn't made much of a difference either way. Fifteen percent say it has made them more likely to vote for him, the poll shows.

HAHA!

I had faith that Americans would see through that, and it appears from this sample, at least, that they did.

[RamboLiberal]

37. And looks like TANG story on * is making a bit of a difference

One of the bigger election stories of the past week centered on new doubts about whether the president had fulfilled his military obligations during Vietnam. With recent reports suggesting that as a younger man Bush did not meet his stateside National Guard obligations during the Vietnam war, voters are split on what they believe-42 percent of all voters say they now have serious doubts, the same number says he did his duty. The president’s personal ratings on honesty took a hit this week, with 55 percent saying they view Bush as “honest and ethical” and 40 percent saying they do not. Seven days ago, those numbers were 62 percent and 33 percent.

Bringing down his honesty factor.

Even though the WH tries to spin that the TANG history was well known, it was not in the 2000 election. The damn media didn't do its job on this back in 2000.

Now I wonder if there will be a Kitty Kelley factor.

Kelley also claims that the First Couple went to pot parties on the British Virgin Islands with Laura Bush's college roommate Jane Clark and her pal, Hall of Fame pitcher Sandy Koufax.

To back up the much-rumored story of the younger George Bush getting an abortion for a girlfriend, Kelley cites Hustler magazine publisher Larry Flynt.

Kelley offers no new insights into Bush's controversial stint in the Texas Air National Guard. But the Bush that appears in her book is a mean ex-drunk who mistreats his wife, believes Jews can't go to heaven and is terrified of "looking wimpish."

http://www.nydailynews.com/front/story/231026p-198371c.html

[marigold20]

34. Good - keep falling...

nt

[wryter2000]

35. hahahahah

As someone here predicted, when the bogus 11% lead crumbled, * would look as if he's sinking like a rock. Nothing fails like failure.

[flaminbats]

38. Kerry will need his own October surprise...

but only after Cheney and Rove release their big surprise