Varying Polls Reflect Volatility, Experts Say [NYT]

[truthisfreedom]

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/09/18/politics/campaign/18explain.html

Varying Polls Reflect Volatility, Experts Say
By CARL HULSE

Published: September 18, 2004

WASHINGTON, Sept. 17 - With national public opinion surveys showing the presidential race to be anywhere from a dead heat between President Bush and Senator John Kerry to Mr. Bush's holding a commanding lead, potential voters have their choice of what to believe.

But survey experts say such disparities in the polls are not unusual at this stage of a campaign and reflect both a volatile electorate and methodological differences between the polling organizations.
<snip>

David W. Moore, senior editor of the Gallup Poll, said he believed that even slight differences in the time periods when the surveys were conducted could shift the results, given the intense news media coverage of the issue of Mr. Bush's time in the National Guard and whether disputed memos regarding his service there were forged.
<snip>

"My sense is that Bush is ahead by several percentage points, that the public is pretty volatile, that the National Guard issue could play either way for one of the candidates,'' Mr. Moore said. "It is clearly not decided what the outcome will be.''

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[Qutzupalotl]

1. Varying Polls Reflect Fraud, Little Bird Says

I'd :) if this weren't so :grr::nuke:

[AndyTiedye]

3. Gallup is Simply Doing What Florida and Some Other States Are Doing...

...reducing the number of Democrats whose votes are counted.

Gallup may well be accurately reflecting the effect of thousands of black voters being
turned away from the polls as they were in 2000, and millions of Kerry votes being
changed to Bush or Nader votes by the Diebold machinez.

The election thieves need Gallup.

[fearnobush]

2. Micro film anyone?

[Doofer]

4. "Varying Polls Reflect Volatility, Experts Say [NYT]"

But survey experts say such disparities in the polls are not unusual at this stage of a campaign and reflect both a volatile electorate and methodological differences between the polling organizations.

I don't believe it has anything to do with a volatile electorate. It's the methods that the polling firms are using. You would think that after all these years of doing this stuff they could get there act together!

[newyawker99]

6. Hi Doofer!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[shanti]

5. no, silly, they reflect

bullshyt