Yahoo: New polls show presidential race tightening

[Raster]

WASHINGTON (AFP) - Fresh polls showed the bitter and volatile presidential race between George W. Bush and John Kerry (news - web sites) back to a dead heat as the two candidates stepped up their war of words over Iraq.

Surveys released Thursday by the Pew Research Center and Harris Interactive had Kerry wiping out a solid lead Bush forged with a month of attacks on his Democratic rival capped by the Republican national convention.

The Pew data showed the Massachusetts senator clawing his way back from a 12-point deficit among registered voters interviewed between September 8 and 10 to a 46-46 percent tie four days later.

A Harris poll of likely voters published in the Wall Street Journal had Kerry up 48-47 percent. The twin findings were in marked contrast to previous surveys that showed Bush opening up a margin of two to 12 points.

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http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=1506&ncid=696&e=5&u=/afp/20040917/ts_alt_afp/us_vote

[tom_paine]

1. So naturally the Bushevik Mockingbirds at Gallup

with their rigged and Sovietized Polls, show Bunnypants* with a 13-point lead.

I remember when America was free, though it seems a lifetime ago.

[Raster]

2. Let's keep this kicked... gallup does not tell the true story

:kick:

[NewYorkerfromMass]

3. Gallup is SOOOO out of line that it is obviously biased

If you are going to try to bias you're supposed to do it subtley.

[sweetheart]

4. whoever wins will win by 1 vote

Its a dead heat. We all know it, and voter turnout is the one
variable that no poll can prepare for. Forget the polls. WHomever
wins will win by 1 vote... or by not counting 1.

[llmart]

5. Rate this story a "5".

Let's get these stories on the front page instead of Gallup's. This one says Kerry's ahead and we need to have that broadcasted all over the place.

[Barrett808]

10. Done. 3.63 with 184 votes n/t

[BootinUp]

6. Brave words from Racicot the chickenhawk at the end.

"John Kerry's continually shifting positions on Iraq and his sinking rhetoric of a defeated America send a signal to our allies and our enemies that America is not willing to finish the job," Racicot said.

You're so brave with others lives you chickenhawk! :puke:

[underpants]

7. But but Russert said that even Kerry campaign says it is W by 5 or 6

This morning on the Today Show.

Tim pulled a Fox and said that Kerry campaign officials said that W is up by at least 5 points. :eyes: Of course these "Kerry campaign officials" position in the campaign and names are not needed as that could lead to a follow up.

[Iceburg]

8. Harris was the ONLY pollster to call the 2000 election correctly

Some good analysis & review of the facts on pollster reliability at
http://winger.dailykos.com/story/2004/8/30/13127/9431

Gallup also shows history not on Bush's side (none / 0)

No incumbent who served his full term in Gallup poll history has ever won re-election when he was not leading by atleast 9 points by September since Roosevelt in 1946 when he only lead by two. Thats 6 out of 7 full term incumbents who had a 9 point lead or more by this time who have won. The three who didnt have lost. Bush is now only tied.

[Art_from_Ark]

13. Roosevelt in '46???

Roosevelt died in '45. And the next presidential election after that was '48, when Dewey "defeated" Truman.

[Inland]

9. Which Theme will Media Choose? That's going to determine which poll

they emphasize. "Kerry Is a Terrible Candidate who Blew a Lead" or "Its a Horserace, How exciting!" After all, its about a story line, not facts.

[Raster]

11. KICK

:kick: gallup sucks

[Anaxamander]

12. Its current average rating is 3.72 with 205 vote(s). NT