Bush leads in one poll, tied in another

[Mr_Spock]

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/president/articles/2004/09/17/bush_leads_in_one_poll_tied_in_another/

Bush leads in one poll, tied in another
By Will Lester, Associated Press Writer | September 17, 2004

"WASHINGTON -- President Bush has a double-digit lead in one new national poll, but he's tied with Democrat John Kerry in another. Both campaigns say their own polling has the race close, with Bush's people seeing a slight lead for the president.

Kerry and Bush are tied in a Pew Research Center poll taken Sept. 11-14, after Bush was up by 12 points or more from a Pew sample taken Sept. 8-10. A Gallup poll being released early Friday has Bush up 54 percent to 40 in a three-way matchup, with Ralph Nader at 3 percent.

"After so long when the polls were deadlocked no matter what happened, now we have a situation where voter opinion is unsettled," said Andrew Kohut, director of the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press. "There's a lot of uncertainty and you're going to have more variation in the polls than we've had in the past."

The first of two national polls by Pew, done Sept. 8-10, reflected the president's post-convention bounce. Bush was ahead of Kerry 52-40 among registered voters and by an even wider margin, 54-39, among likely voters, a narrower group.

By the second poll, done Sept. 11-14, the Bush lead had evaporated, the center said Thursday. In that poll, Bush and Kerry were knotted at 46 percent among registered voters. Among likely voters, Bush was at 47 percent and Kerry at 46 percent."


Yeah, up by 14 in one, tied in another - let's not take these polls to seriously folks. "There's a lot of uncertainty and you're going to have more variation in the polls than we've had in the past." Translation: we have no idea how to take polls anymore - you'd be best to ignore them

[shawn703]

1. Too bad there's not one showing a 14 point Kerry lead

Headline: Polls Show Bush or Kerry With Wide Lead, Possibly Tied

[shockingelk]

2. polls have gone haywire since conventions

Before the DNC convention, they were all within five points of one another ...