HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 47...CORRECTED - 5 AM EDT SAT SEP 25

[Swamp Rat]

000
WTNT31 KNHC 250837
TCPAT1
BULLETIN

HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 47...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 25 2004

...CORRECTED TO ADD HEADLINE AND STORM TIDES ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST...

...JEANNE MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE ABACO ISLANDS...EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY INTO A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO ST. AUGUSTINE...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY
ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW
PROVIDENCE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY THROUGHOUT
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
GEORGIA COASTS FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO ANCLOTE
KEY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM
CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO EAST CAPE
SABLE...AND NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY ALONG THE WEST COAST TO THE
OCHLOCKONEE RIVER...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
NORTH OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE.

WE ARE REMINDED THAT YOM KIPPUR...A SOLEMN JEWISH HOLIDAY...WILL
LAST UNTIL SUNDOWN TODAY. SOME OF YOUR JEWISH NEIGHBORS IN THE
WATCH AND WARNING AREAS OBSERVING YOM KIPPUR WILL NOT BE
LISTENING TO RADIOS OR WATCHING TV...AND MAY NOT BE AWARE OF THE
HURRICANE SITUATION.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES...90 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND IN THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...EAST OF
THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CORE OF JEANNE WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER THE ABACO
ISLANDS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...NEAR OR OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS LATER TODAY...AND APPROACH THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND JEANNE WILL LIKELY BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER
TODAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 205 MILES...335 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 958 MB...28.29 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE
CENTER OF JEANNE ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND ON
THE WEST SIDE OF THE ABACO ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4
FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL
ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST.

TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE TRACK OF JEANNE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA.

DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED
BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN
U.S. COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND THE BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...26.5 N... 76.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 958 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1%2Bshtml/201440.shtml

**********

Satellite Imagery: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

[Eurobabe]

1. OFERCHRISSAKES! I have hurricane fatigue

and I live in Virginia!!! I can't imagine what the folks in FL are feeling. Hang tight people...

[teach1st]

2. Resignation and some denial

Not everywhere, not everybody, but online reports document some denial about this dangerous storm. I think this morning's reports will bring a strong sense of reality to most.

My school has a student car wash scheduled this morning in the Tampa Bay area. The students won't be in any danger, but a few storms earlier would have found most of our families bugging out by now (I wouldn't know where to evacuate for Jeanne) and the car wash cancelled a few days ago.

[Swamp Rat]

3. Me too! Yet we must prepare for this storm to move into the Gulf as

Andrew did. I know the forecasts say it's going to turn, yet... I am still awake worried about it... and still exhausted and behind in school from Ivan. Can you believe we were recently getting rain in Louisiana from Ivan, again?!

[Owlet]

4. This storm is getting bigger

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/

"Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 205 miles...335 km."

The 8pm advisory (last one ai saw last night) had hurricane winds extending outward only 45 miles. The velocity stayed the same 105mph.

[da_chimperor]

5. Hurricanes suck

and blow. Good luck to everyone in Florida!

[allemand]

6. Jeanne strengthens, takes aim at Florida

Storm would be fourth to hit Sunshine State this season

Saturday, September 25, 2004 Posted: 7:31 AM EDT (1131 GMT)

MIAMI, Florida (CNN) -- For the fourth time in the last five weeks, storm-weary residents of Florida are preparing for the arrival of a hurricane -- this time, Jeanne, which is now swirling west toward the Sunshine State with 105 mph winds after meandering around the Caribbean for nearly two weeks.

Jeanne will "likely become a major hurricane" Saturday, before making landfall somewhere on Florida's Atlantic coast early Sunday, according to the National Hurricane Center's 5 a.m. advisory. <...>

A strike by Jeanne would make unwelcome history.

Since hurricane information has been recorded, Florida has never been hit by four hurricanes in the same year, according to Max Mayfield, director of the National Hurricane Center. Texas was hit by four hurricanes in 1886, he said.

More:
http://www.cnn.com/2004/WEATHER/09/25/hurricane.jeanne/index.html





http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT11/refresh/AL1104W+GIF/251138W.gif

[Skarbrowe]

7. Yep. I'm just sitting here listening to the tropical storm gusts.

I was in the direct path of Jeanne. Now it's going a little north of here. Got the shutters closed. Cable is already knocked out. I'm expecting the electric to go at any time. It's a little after 5PM now so the worst is yet to come.

I've got some steaks to cook and some booze. The booze is for other people. heh I'd rather be sober in case the house blows away. Then again, don't they say you're body handles being tossed around better when you're already three sheets to the wind?

My worst nightmare is that fact they said that the power line guys are so exhausted from all the hurricanes that when electricity is lost, a good number of places might not get it back on for up to three weeks.

I will not be in Florida for another hurricane season. That's if I make it out in one piece from this one.

Skarbrowe

had to edit a couple times from stuttering

[yardwork]

8. North Carolina has been hit by almost every hurricane this season

Almost every one - we've gone right down the alphabet. The people in western NC can't take anymore rain. They've lost their homes and businesses (and some of them have lost their lives).

Think of the relief that our military could provide to Americans suffering from natural disasters if they weren't waging war on the other side of the world.

[Pallas180]

9. Skarbrowe, I commiserate -

Delray - waiting for the big blasts...lights have flickered some but we still have electricy and phone.

refrigerator and freezer turned to coldest hoping I wont lose $300 worth of food this time.

shutters down, thermoses of coffee and tea ready, frozen water in
fridge and ice cubes, pre-prepared food and when that's gone lot of
cans of food - pillows in bathtub with mattress ready to cover.

but, like you, worried about the roof. Francis cost me $500 in roof
repairs - blown off shingles - last time, and that was only gusts of
95 to 100 mph - now a steady 125 mph wind, with gusts to what? has
me depressed (and I'm never depressed, but Jane has done it this time)

If the roof goes, I wont have a house, but if there is just some shingles gone - (please God) repairs will be okay.

What worries me most is the winds and the chance of tornadoes.

Chanel 6 showing Boca beach with 5 to 8 foot swells and some idiot in
the surf fishing. No comment.

Interesting if the electric goes, Jeb might be able to delay it past
November 2 - so no voting could take place...

I'll stay in Florida - as long as every hurricane season doesn't continue like this.

Check with you all later.

Pallas

On Edit: see the bottom of that angry red part in the pics of the hurricane above? - that's what's heading for my town. carp. tish.