James O. Goldsborough
The San Diego Union-Tribune
August 2, 2004
According to the Bush administration's tax-cut theorists, the economy and markets should be roaring right about this time – three months before the election. So what has gone wrong? Polls show more voters worried about the economy than the Iraq war. They show more people think John Kerry would do a better job handling the economy than George W. Bush.
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Problem one is nagging unemployment. Most economists said Bush's tax cuts – primarily benefiting wealthy taxpayers – targeted the wrong people to stimulate consumption. Today's unemployment rate of 5.6 percent is exactly what it was at the end of the recession in November 2001. Though jobs have picked up in recent months, wages have not and continue to lag behind prices.
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A short-term tax cut aimed at production workers would have done more for our stagnant economy than Bush's long-term cuts for the wealthy. It also would not have created such staggering deficits, higher under Bush as a percentage of gross domestic product than in any year since 1987, when the dollar lost a third of its value and the stock market crashed. Adding to the grief of people who did not primarily benefit from Bush's tax cuts comes a new report by Citizens for Tax Justice, based on an analysis of 186,000 recent tax returns. The report showed that taxes on investment continue to fall relative to taxes on wages and other earnings, further penalizing low-income workers. It also shows that 60 percent of all investment income goes to the wealthiest 5 percent of taxpayers.
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This is precisely the "two Americas" situation under Bush that Democrats criticized last week in Boston. Bush's tax cuts favored wealthy taxpayers yet the stock market stays stagnant, depressing spending by the wealthy. Meanwhile, middle-and lower-income people have lost ground, while growing deficits produced by the tax cuts weaken the dollar, raise prices, lift interest rates and slow the economy.
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http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20040802/news_mz1e2golds.html Goldsborough can be reached via e-mail at jim.goldsborough@uniontrib.com.