The Fallacy of Overconfidence ( Why the ignorant are blissful )

[Xipe Totec]

Dunning, a professor of psychology at Cornell, worries about because, according to his research, most incompetent people do not know they are incompetent.

On the contrary. People who do things badly, Dunning has found in studies conducted with a graduate student, Justin Kruger, are usually supremely confident of their abilities -- more confident, in fact, than people who do things well.

(snip)

One reason that the ignorant also tend to be the blissfully self-assured, the researchers believe, is that the skills required for competence often are the same skills necessary to recognize competence.

"Not only do they reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the ability to realize it," wrote Kruger, now an assistant professor at the University of Illinois, and Dunning.

http://www.zenspider.com/RWD/Thoughts/Inept.html

Does this remind you of anyone? :think:

Doesn't it scare the bejesus out of you? :scared:

[Vincardog]

1. Does his explain *'s world view? I am scared now

[Xipe Totec]

2. Not Just *'s View, It Explains Liberal/Conservative Differences

It explains why Repugs in general and neoCons in particular are so self-righteous and cocky.

[Catfight]

3. I always recite, "Ignorance is bliss," it really is, the more I know the

more I realize I don't know anything.

[Xipe Totec]

4. True knowledge exists in knowing that you know nothing.

And in knowing that you know nothing, that makes you the smartest of all.

- Socrates

[Catfight]

5. smartest in 'theory' how would you ever know you're smart if you realize

you know nothing?

[knowbody0]

6. the more you know

you know you know nothing

[Xipe Totec]

7. Gee, I Don't Know!

:evilgrin:

[WhiteTara]

8. you wouldn't think you know everything

and be able to learn nothing.

[VegasWolf]

9. This simply seems to be a corollary of intelligence

in which your own ability to perceive and understand the
world is based solely on your own capabilities. The smarter
you are, the smarter the world is. Bush's world must be
very dim indeed.