Bush has had a golden two weeks - he'd better get a bump

[bushwakker]

Starting with the Memorial Day holiday at the end of May, AWOL has had a seemingly unending series of events from which he should be able to gain politically. On Memorial Day we had the dedication of the new WWII memorial in DC which allowed him to pretend that he's a serious human being and strut around as a "war time president". In addition, I don't know if anyone here caught the fawning one hour special CNN ran that weekend on Bush Daddy and his WWII service - Rove couldn't have planned it any better (there goes that damned liberal media again). Segway from that into the D-Day at 60 celebration in France which was interrupted by the death of Reagan. Reagan's death set off a week of orgiastic myth-telling designed as much to aid AWOL's campaign for re-selection as it was to honor the dead president. Nary a GOP boot licker appeared on television who didn't see fit to add how AWOL is the true "political heir to the Reagan mantle." Finally we have Bush Daddy's aerial acrobatics over the weekend with Brit Hume and Chuck Norris in tow leading to yet another round of positive press coverage that could not help but redound to AWOL's benefit. So basically two weeks worth of warm and fuzzies for AWOL - the best two weeks he's had in along time none of it was really about him. Have we reached some kind of crucial point in the campaign? I heard a RW talk host over the weekend saying that the race was over now and AWOL will win it easily. I'm curious to see what the pols reveal this week. Not just the horse race but what the internals say about AWOL's standing with the people.

[mopaul]

1. yes, it's been a fun distraction

the reagan funeral and the bizarre chute jump. the word surreal has no meaning anymore, nor irony.

but now back to the business of conquering earth for fascism. it's been a fun orgy, but now it's time to clean up the mess

[benburch]

2. A beer and a bump, in fact!

[bushwakker]

4. I never drink before 10:00am

although the bullshit I've seen in the last two weeks makes me want to start early.

[SpiralHawk]

3. AWOL's standing with the people?

I say that the American people are seeing him more clearly. There is a long way to go yet, but the next few weeks should prove decisive. The shit in the BushCo septic tank is bubbling to the surface.

I'm betting the voters will flush Bush -- and I hope they will do the same for the Republican dominated House and Senate.

[Awsi Dooger]

5. Well, Bush is now a 5/7 favorite again among offshore sportsbooks

So he HAS gotten a bump in the betting world, whatever that's worth.

I just checked Ladbrokes a few minutes ago. Bush (actually the Republican ticket) is an 8/11 favorite, roughly -1.37 or 137 to win 100. Kerry is even money. During the spring, it was a pick 'em race after Bush was 5/7 all of last year.

Another respected offshore book has Bush -1.45 and Kerry +1.05.

[bushwakker]

6. Conventional wisdom has AWOL getting a big bounce

Sometimes the people surprise you though and don't play ball with the conventional wisdom. It's like all these allegedly great economic numbers and how they've not translated (yet) into growing support for AWOL's econimic policies. You can't fool the people about their own pocketbooks. Frankly I want Kerry to remain the underdog here and I feel more confident fighting from that position.

[cheezus]

19. I think DUers should collect a fund to bet on Kerry

in replacement of the fund drive next time. That money would double up, and I bet as a gimmick it'd get a lot more contributors.

[leesa]

7. The last two weeks have actually brought a lot of bad news for Bush

You don't actually believe the media fairy tale, do you?

[bushwakker]

9. Hard to see how any "real' news could get thru

the filter of events since Memorial Day. For instance this Brahimi story - WTF is that all about? Wasn't he supposed to be a main player in Iraq on behalf of the UN? AWOL had even explicitly mentioned him in a recent speech. Now the guy is just leaving? didn't hear squat about this on the networks yesterday.

[Media_Lies_Daily]

8. The polls have shown nothing last week to support a "bump" for FratBoy.

[anarchy1999]

10. No bump is coming, go to other threads and make phone calls and

send faxes. CONTEMPT OF CONGRESS, the funeral and G8 and Daddy's BD are over, reality time..........

UNCONSTITUTIONAL! We the people want answers, demand accountability, the rest of the world is waiting to see what we the people do... with our "democracy and freedom"!

[KharmaTrain]

11. We'd Have Seen The Bump By Now...More Like Drip, Drip, Drip

So far we've had two weekends of Rove controlled headlines...Memorial Day/D-Day...purposely intended to shine on Poppy as well, then the Raygun defication...while the exact time wasn't planned, surely all the political levers that were pulled were. The only poll I saw that showed any "bump" was a Rasmussen one last week, that even they didn't want to say was anything more than a "daily trend". Not quite the wave of sympathy and outpouring of "support". If anything this is really starting to snowball on the regime.

Granted, I'm biased, but I could help noticing more and more people turning off both the Raygun crap and this regime. The over-the-top coverage became a nuisances to many (interfering with a favorite show or always being on whenever you scanned channels), and those who did watch came away feeling this was a partisan commercial. I think a lot of folks looked back at the 80's, then at the 90's and now and if they're like a lot of us, the 90's right now look a hell of a lot better than the other two and how Repugnican regimes mean tough times. The time is perfect for the Big Dog to now to shine a light on what this country was like prior to Dec, 2000...when people had jobs, security and this nation was a far better place.

[bushwakker]

12. I forgot to mention the G8 summit

Christ it's been a really weird two weeks. A confluence of events that should improve AWOL's standing. I'm just getting a bit of the jitters. I just wish the convetion was somewhere other than Boston. The negativity here is getting to me.

[KharmaTrain]

14. Steady Hand...This Is A Marathon...Also The U.N. Vote!

Being here in Chicago, I get a feeling NYC may be more jittery than Boston, so what's the concern about the convention?

There was zero effect of the G-8...and even more telling the 15-0 U.N. Vote that supposedly was a big triumph for the regime and how the French & Germans were trying to kiss and make up. That went over like a led balloon.

From the pics we've seen...the ones on Raygun Idiot's are classic...show what an embarassment Monkeyboy was at the summit, and how the Raygun story totally drowned this one out. Here's Rove being out Roved by Rove and the ghost of Lee Atwater. LOL!

I wonder if Ailes at Faux figured he would play up his icon Raygun and let Bushyboy hang during the week (they were almost subdued in attempting to link the Chimpster to Raygun unlike C-SPAN & CNN did)...now will he come back to the reservation or is there yet another story brewing.

Don't get nervous...sit back and enjoy the show. We're watching this regime unravel under its own lies and deceptions....it's been a long time coming and let's not help them.

[anchorsaweigh7903]

13. The race is far from over:::Problems to be expected

1.2 weeks from now Iraq will have their "government" installed. According to Reuters and the BBC, there has been a fresh set of uprisings in the cities of Fallujah and Iraq. The marines are scrambling to quell the situation before the turnover.
2.Further poverty inflicting rural America will cost lots of W.Votes.
3.The media onslaught of W's policies, domestic and abroad will hurt the W camp 10 fold.
4.The Bickering amongst the Republican Party, including W's right hand man, Powell, taking the brunt for the war, and the suspected situation of the Bush administration breaking up in the next election.
5.Troops not being pulled out of Iraq on a timely basis. More troop deaths will be expected.

These are only 5 reasons, but there are many more on my mind. W has a full plate to eat if he still wants to dance in November.

[newyawker99]

18. Hi anchorsaweigh7903!!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

[John_H]

15. He'll get his usual 5 pts from the "America Idol" crowd for a week, tops.

Unfortunately there seems to be about a 5 percent block of cretins who fall for Roves minor stunts--"Mission Accomplished", Terra Alerts(TM), and of course the new "BUSH+REAGAN=FUN!" campaign. They'll return to not paying attention in a week, and Chimp will be back to where he was last Friday.

What we have to worry about is Osama-thawing or WMD "finding" which will impress the much larger group of conservative-leaning swing voters who want to believe that the Prez is doing a good job.

[LuminousX]

16. If he doesn't get a massive boost, he has failed

[rniel]

17. Money spent

Bush has raised and spent tons of money already, a constant barrage of negative ads about Kerry and all that money and dirty tricks and distractions in the favor of bush have not made a difference in the polls. I get the feeling bush is done for if all the money in the world can't change people's votes he must've finally pissed off enough people.