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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-16-04 07:24 PM
Original message
Do you know an Economics Professor?
Bush's Labor Dept. added a new element to how jobs are counted starting for April 2003.

It's called the "CES Net/Birth Death Model."

The Labor Dept. admits this new element is "problematic," but a year later, for April 2004, it attibute 94% of new jobs to this new element.

For an article I wrote on this subject, go to:
http://www.moveleft.com/moveleft_essay_2004_06_07_fake_job_numbers_from_the_bush_administration.asp

I'd like for an Economics Professor to try to run the numbers, and determine if...

1) The Labor Dept. is running the numbers exactly the same way each month.

2) If the "CES Net/Birth Death Model" fundamentally makes sense.

Do you know an Econmics Professor with skils in processing government statistics?

If so, please post to discuss this.


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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-16-04 09:13 PM
Response to Original message
1. kick
kick
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Cush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-16-04 09:15 PM
Response to Original message
2. my dad has a PhD in Economics
but he doesn't deal with domestic issues, he works with foreign issues
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-16-04 09:16 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Does he run government statistics? nt
nt
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Cush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-16-04 09:17 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. lol, not sure what he does exactly
Edited on Wed Jun-16-04 09:19 PM by Cush
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-16-04 09:20 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Please ask him to read my article, and then to try to
Please ask him to read my article, and then to either:

1) Get raw data from the Labor Dept. and determine if they really run the numbers exactly the same way each month,

or

2) Ask a colleague who deals more with domestic statistics to see if the Labor Dept. numbers can be independently verified.
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-17-04 05:28 PM
Response to Original message
6. kick
kick
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-18-04 08:04 AM
Response to Original message
7. kick
kick
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jun-18-04 05:29 PM
Response to Original message
8. kick
kick
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jun-19-04 08:11 AM
Response to Original message
9. kick
kick
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