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The Pollsters: THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE UGLY.

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-04 08:27 PM
Original message
The Pollsters: THE GOOD, THE BAD AND THE UGLY.
Edited on Mon Aug-02-04 09:06 PM by TruthIsAll
Its hard to get a major bounce when your already in the lead.
Its just a steady surge for Kerry. The sky's the limit.

And Bush is TOAST!

Note: All averages are calculated from Feb. to the present.			
 
THE GOOD GUYS:
IBD,ABC, NWK, ARG,CBS,PEW,LAT,ZOGBY,TIME	
.....Kerry	 Bush	Diff
Feb	48.00	45.43	2.57
Mar	48.57	44.00	4.57
Apr	47.38	44.88	2.50
May	47.75	44.00	3.75
June	47.14	44.71	2.43
July	48.11	45.00	3.11
Aug	49.60	44.00	5.60 <<< see the bounce, Wolf?
AVG	48.08	44.57	3.51 (from Feb.-Aug.)

THE BAD GUYS:
Average of FOX, AP,CNN, NBC	
.... Kerry	Bush 	Diff
Feb 45.50	48.00	-2.50
Mar 46.00	45.00	1.00 < only month Kerry leads
Apr 44.00	46.33	-2.33
May 44.00	45.25	-1.25
Jun 44.67	47.33	-2.67
Jul 46.00	46.25	-0.25
Aug 47.00	50.00	-3.00 <<< No Kerry gain? Bushit!
AVG 45.31	46.88	-1.57 
			
THE GOOD:
Average from Feb.
Poll	Kerry	Bush 	Diff
IBD	43.50	42.83	0.67
ABC	50.29	45.86	4.43 <surprise leader
NWK	49.00	44.60	4.40 
ARG	48.67	44.67	4.00
			
CBS	47.86	43.43	4.43
PEW	47.33	45.67	1.67
LAT	49.33	45.33	4.00
ZOGBY	46.83	43.50	3.33
TIME	49.67	47.00	2.67
			
AVG	48.05	44.77	3.25 << Kerry average lead since  Feb.

		
THE BAD:
Poll	Kerry	Bush 	Diff
CNN	48.57	48.00	0.57
AP	44.25	46.50	-2.25
FOX	42.83	44.50	-1.67
NBC	43.50	46.00	-2.50
			
AVG	44.79	46.25	-1.46 <<< BushCo lead since Feb.
Right.
			
THE DETAILS:			
.....Kerry Bush 	Diff
IBD (trying hard not to appear biased, unlike their
editorials)
Jan 			
Feb	44	41	3
Mar	45	43	2
Apr	40	44	-4
May	43	42	1
June	43	44	-1
July	46	43	3
AVG	43.50	42.83	0.67
			
ABC			
Feb	52	43	9
Mar	53	44	9
Apr	48	49	-1
May	49	47	2
June	53	45	8
July	47	49	-2
Aug	50	44	6 (See the bounce, Wolf?)
AVG	50.29	45.86	4.43
			
AP (UGLY. Kerry never in the lead, not once)		
Jan 	37	54	-17
Feb			
Mar	45	46	-1
Apr	44	45	-1
May	43	46	-3
June			
July	45	49	-4
AVG  44.25	46.50	-2.25
			
NWK (the Kerry bouncers)			
Jan 	41	52	-11
Feb	50	45	5
Mar	48	45	3
Apr	50	43	7
May	46	45	1
June			
July	51	45	6
Aug	52	44	8 (See the bounce, Wolf?)
AVG	49.00	44.60	4.40
			
ARG (steady as a rock)			
Jan 	47	46	1
Feb	48	46	2
Mar	50	43	7
Apr	50	44	6
May	47	44	3
June	48	46	2
July	49	45	4
Aug	49	46	3
AVG	48.67	44.67	4.00
			
NBC (THE UGLY. Kerry never in the lead. Tweety, you there?)		
Jan 	35	54	-19
Feb			
Mar	43	46	-3
Apr			
May	42	46	-4
June	44	45	-1
July	45	47	-2
AVG	43.50	46.00	-2.50
			
FOX (Kerry leads in July only, trying to keep Bush close)		
Jan 	32	54	-22
Feb	43	47	-4
Mar	44	44	0
Apr	42	43	-1
May	42	42	0
June	42	48	-6
July	44	43	1
AVG	42.83	44.50	-1.67
			
CBS (Our friends at 60 Minutes keeping 'em honest)			
Jan 	48	43	5
Feb	47	46	1
Mar	48	43	5
Apr	48	43	5
May	49	41	8
June	45	44	1
July	49	44	5
Aug	49	43	6 (See the bounce, Wolf?)
AVG	47.86	43.43	4.43
			
CNN (BAD. Outliars, volatile, can't trust 'em. Sorry,
Wolfie)		
Jan 	43	55	-12
Feb	48	49	-1
Mar	52	44	8
Apr	46	51	-5
May	49	47	2
June	48	49	-1
July	50	46	4
Aug	47	50	-3 (Yeah. Right.)
AVG	48.57	48.00	1.57
			
PEW			
Jan 	41	52	-11
Feb	47	47	0
Mar	48	44	4
Apr	47	46	1
May	50	45	5
June	46	48	-2
July	46	44	2
AVG	47.33	45.67	1.67
			
LA Times			
Jan 			
Feb			
Mar			
Apr	49	46	3
May			
June	51	44	7
July	48	46	2
AVG	49.33	45.33	4.00
			
ZOGBY	(steady as a rock)		
Jan			
Feb			
Mar	48	46	2
Apr	47	44	3
May	47	42	5
June	44	42	2
July	47	44	3
Aug	48	43	5 (A Professional - there are a few)
AVG	46.83	43.50	3.33
			
TIME			
Jan	43	54	-11
Feb	48	50	-2
Mar			
Apr			
May	51	46	5
June			
July	50	45	5
AVG	49.67	47.00	2.67
			
			
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smirkymonkey Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-04 08:32 PM
Response to Original message
1. Thank you!
:kick:
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childslibrarian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-02-04 08:44 PM
Response to Original message
2. You are the Best!!!
Thank you!!
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