FOX confirms what we already know: CNN is a lying outlier!

[TruthIsAll]

The question is: How is Bush going to pick up 6% in three
months to get to 50% when even FOX has his trend going DOWN?

FOX has NEVER had Kerry in the lead this year. They do now. I
don't have to tell you about FOX, who now make CNN look like
even more of an out liar. FOX had Bush +1 before the
convention, now its Kerry +4.

CNN is generlly the ONLY poll quoted by those bleached bimbos,
because it's the ONLY poll with a negative Kerry bounce.

I presented this analysis yesterday, before the Fox polling
numbers came in, so I wanted to update DUers. I know you love
numbers when they are NOT cooked. 

A caveat: Kerry is always doing BETTER than the 6-polls will
indicate. They might not be world-class whores like CNN, but
they  still mostly lean Repuke, except for Zogby. 

Fight the whoremedia!

With TRUTH.

Post Convention:
The six poll average:
Kerry:49.33
Bush: 43.83

Pre Convention:
Kerry:47.84
Bush: 45.33

That's a net 3% bounce.

Kerry vs. Bush (2-party vote%)
Post: 52.94% (Kerry is pulling away) 
Pre: 51.32%


The 6-polls probability of a Kerry win: 
Pre-convention: 79.76%
Post-convention: 96.87%
That's a 17% bounce.

	     Kerry	Bush	Spread	
	      Mean	Mean		
Post Conv	49.33%	43.83%	5.50%	
Pre  Conv	47.83%	45.33%	2.50%	
Net  Chg	1.50% 	-1.50%	3.00%	

    		
Prob Kerry Wins popular vote (he gets over 50%)	    	
Post Conv:	96.87%    	
Pre  Conv:	79.76%    	
Net  Chg:	17.11%    	


                     Kerry   
     Kerry	 Bush	   vs.Bush
CNN	47     50	48.45%	
				
Post-Convention Polling stats	   
                      Kerry%
Poll	Kerry   Bush	vs.Bush	  
CBS	49    43 	53.26%	
ABC	52   	45    53.61%	
NWK	52	44	54.17%	
ZOG	48	43	52.75%	
ARG	49	46	51.58%	
FOX	46	42	52.27%	
				
Mean	49.33%	43.83%	52.94%	
				
StdP Prob (win):	96.87%

Pre-Convention Polling stats	     
                         Kerry   
Poll	Kerry    Bush     vs.Bush	 
CBS	49	44	52.69%
ABC	48	49	49.48%
NWK	51	45	53.13%
ZOG	48	46	51.06%
ARG	49	45	52.13%
FOX	42	43	49.41%
				
Mean	47.83%	45.33%	51.32%
				

[NMDemDist2]

1. thanks for the line of explanation TIA

i really appreciate it :bounce:

[sidwill]

2. Wow.....

Fox lies less than CNN?

uuuuugggggghhhhhh I gotta go take a bath.

If we are left with Fox being more "balanced" than CNN our democracy is truly in peril.

[RobertSeattle]

3. Or Out Liar?

:evilgrin:

[Leilani]

4. Brit Hume just reported latest FOX poll results...

& said it looks like trouble for Bush...

It is scary when they report straight & CNN lies.

[YankeeFan]

5. Faux and CNN

For several years Conservatives have called CNN (among other things) Contemptible New Network.
And how long have we called Fox, Faux?

This is scary.